Dacha’s new Model might emulate a Japanese ‘Shosha’ Trading House

SherrittFINALDacha Strategic Metals Inc. (‘Dacha’, TSXV: DSM) elected a new board of directors last November. The company has been looking for a fresh outlook. Its model, until recently, was to acquire, store and deal in a series of rare earth metals, especially the harder to find ones of the Heavy Rare Earths (HREE) variety such as Dysprosium. Dacha kept the assets in the London Metal Exchange. Management would then exploit inefficiencies in the various niche markets, acting as a kind of managed commodity fund. The company’s success was not only based or reliant on the actual prices of the commodities (rare earths in this case); it was even more dependent on the price development of the metals and the management team’s correct assessment of which metals would increase in demand in the future.

Dacha claimed to have established “the world’s first and only corporate stockpile” of rare earths and other critical metals, appealing to investors who wanted to find a route into the rare earth market without the risks associated with new mining companies. Notably, Dacha bought a Chinese trading company to trade REE within China itself, importing and exporting, allowing it to build inventories, which it could trade strategically, taking advantage of market fluctuations and shortages.  Dacha kept its REE stocked in a warehouse in Busan, South Korea, and Shanghai, China.

Dacha has stopped publishing quarterly updates about the value of its inventory of REE’s during what is now a transition phase in search of ways to increase value and performance. As the ‘soul-searching’ proceeds, it should be noted that the new Chairman of the Board, Ian Delaney, was the former CEO and current chairman of Canada’s Sherritt International Corporation, has experience in turning companies around and in generating value in unusual conditions. Sherritt invested successfully in Cuba’s nickel and oil deposits in the 1990’s becoming its main independent energy producer. While, Mr. Delaney has been barred from entering in the United States because of his dealings with Cuba (in fairness he started that business before the passing of the Helms-Burton Act of 1996, banning investment in former US assets in Cuba). Delaney showed that Cuba can be good for business.

Dacha’s model was not exclusive; other companies such as Traxys are also involved in third party metals trading, sourcing in-demand metals from miners in expectations of favorable price movements in the medium and long term. One of the main risks of this business, however, is due diligence, especially when it comes to rare earths, some of which are produced in highly politically sensitive areas. Traxys, for instance, drew the attention of the United Nations over allegations that it was sourcing cassiterite (Coltan) from rebel controlled areas in the DR Congo, subject to checks and penalties, under the Dodd-Frank Law, similar to those involved in the distribution of ‘blood diamonds’ from West Africa. Nevertheless, as a broker, Dacha could specialize in the value elements, the harder to find heavy rare earths as well as the rare earth miners’ actual geological assets – abundance and grades – and processing know-how.

Dacha, therefore, does not need to revolutionize its model; however, there is nothing stopping it from evolving. As a broker, Dacha has many contacts in the REE industry, both in mining and processing. Ideally, Dacha would use its contacts and understanding of the industry to develop its ability to participate in the mining projects themselves, acting in the same way a Japanese Sogo Shosha (a large scale Trading House such as Marubeni or Itochu) would, ensuring long term supply contracts between the miner and the end user, shopping around for the best resource to meet end-users’ needs. The advantage of such a partnership is that the investors in the actual mining assets would see Dacha’s involvement as a reassurance that the mined products can be sold. A number of large corporations from automobile to missile guidance manufacturers are seeking reliable rare earths sources; Dacha could help as a broker, helping REE buyers find the best assets for their needs. One such method would be to take up stakes in good projects, building a diversified portfolio, gaining access to stockpiles for long term value (as they were doing before) while also having direct access to spot supplies. Presumably, Dacha’s participation might even include actual management of select REE projects for further growth.

This model is being used by the large Japanese trading houses to revive their own business prospects. The influence of such people as Ian Sherritt is invaluable, should Dacha embrace this kind of change. Sherritt would use his successful track record and relationships to secure cheap financing; that is a key to profitable brokering. One does not even have to look at Japan exclusively. The Canadian Glencore has adopted this approach, becoming the world’s largest commodities trader. In areas such as defense, a company like Dacha might even benefit from government agency support; after all, Chinese REE restrictions and quotas, may be barriers to direct end users, but they are assets to be exploited by well informed and active brokers.

  1. This is a very interesting story, and on some level, has been a saga of sorts – in that we have watched, waited and provided commentary since they went from Dacha Capital to Dacha Strategic Metals. This business model when initially unveilled triggered a lot of interest and excitment in our sector. This parallelled the dramatic rise in market caps and public companies involved getting involved in this unquestionably complex industry.

    The value of their existing rare earth stock is intriguing and I have often commented on the questionable pricing values that people quote as source.Ultimately this stock is worth — whatever they can get for it.

    What will be interesting to see is who’s talent they will secure to achieve this goal for them. As we all know, there are very few players in our sector that could accomodate this sale.

    Thank you for the speculation Alessandro, and we will all be interested to see what happens with Dacha next…

  2. Well, I called it. On September 6, 2011, I wrote as a comment on http://proedgewire.com/rare-earth-news/dacha-reports-assets-of-c181-per-share-with-inventory-valued-at-us1352-million-as-of-august-31-2011-1/
    “If they were that pleased with a decrease of C$10.2 million in August, imagine how pleased they’ll be with an even larger decrease in September.” in response to Dacha’s press release, which contained “Dacha Strategic Metals Inc. (“Dacha” or the “Company”) (TSX VENTURE:DSM) is pleased to announce the estimated market value of its Rare Earth metals inventory. As of August 31, 2011, the estimated value of its metals inventory was US$135.2 million, or C$132.4 million, a decrease of C$10.2 million, or 7.1%, from the estimated value of C$142.6 million at August 2, 2011, as reported in the Company’s August 3, 2011 press release.”

  3. Very interesting, checking their website shows the last entry 23 Nov 2012 and the only stock that appears to have moved from 31 Aug 2011 is 3000kg of Lutetium & 50kg of Gadolinium which would reduce the Aug 11 value to $132M. Nov 12 is showing a total value of only $43M, a loss of $89M or (67%) in 15 months, pretty much in line with RE SP’s in general.
    No indication of actual purchase prices but fair assumption someone made some bad timing decisions in the midst of the RE bubble and effectively 83t of REO/M has been removed from the market. If this has been repeated elsewhere it goes someway to explain the depth & duration of the demand destruction we’ve seen over the past year or so. Recent presentation from a Chinese magnet manufacturer suggested that for NdFeB magnets to be cost effective “the PrNd price upper limit is less than 68k USD/Ton, and DyFe upper limit is less than 635k USD/ton”. Obviously no one at Dacha stopped to consider those numbers as even their Nov 11 values are still out of the money by roughly 25% on that basis.
    Suggest they will have a tough task in reinventing themselves with Lynas about to start moving product thru their “Rare Earth Direct” (RED) marketing platform. While 90% of Stage 1 is committed to LT contracts (locking in a number of major end users) the first 8500t from S2 is earmarked for Sojitz/JOMEC and Lynas plan to co-market with these two trading houses into the Japanese market. 8500t represents 47% of est. current demand for the largest ROW RE market so you have to wonder how much room/margin remains for players like Dacha.
    Apart from grades & suite there’s a lot to like about Lynas, with their business plan developed pre bubble they now appear to be in the right spot at the right time. Last piece of the puzzle is to prove up cost effective production and they’ve made a good start with 90+% recoveries at the front end.
    Apologies for the blatant ramp but the Dacha story goes a long way to validate the Lynas business plan IMO and a viable path to market will obviously be key to the survival of any ROW RE hopeful.

  4. To follow up on my post last year.
    My major concern with Dacha is that it sourced
    most or all of its’ product from China.
    Setting itself up as a “Major” ETC or EMC(that takes title to its’ goods)might not be the right model for them at this time due to
    the questionable ability to keep sourcing from China.
    Setting themselves up as a broker and using Joint ventures and
    partnerships is an option.
    However,I think a better option for them would be to enhance their
    exisiting Business Model and reorganize as a rare earth/strategic metals streaming company.Such as Silver Wheaton did with Silver.
    They could attempt to set up low fixed costs procurement contracts with rare earth miners in politically stable countries.
    Ones that have good prospects for coming on line.
    This would be a win/win situaton for Dacha/Miners and
    the Rare Earth Industry.
    However,they need someone on their staff that is well versed
    in the investment universe and has the ability to get the big money
    onboard.
    I believe that a company that can structure itself on this Business Model and that can bring it to life will be well positioned for profit taking in the near future.

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