For the sake of national security interests, the U.S. Department of Energy has decided to increase the domestic production of rare earth elements while also reducing its reliance on China’s rare earth metals. Therefore, the U.S. is headed the same way as Japan toward a diversifying rare earth global supply chains in order to enhance a critical materials strategy and stabilizing rare earth supplies.
Rare earth elements, already well known substances, provide unique physical properties for advanced technology applications that cannot be achieved with other materials. Therefore, rare earths have become key ingredients for enhancing the performance of many advanced technology products, especially as a key factor in developing modern military technologies. Under the circumstances, the high political sensitivity of rare earths is self-evident. Pursuing the diversification of the supply is inevitable for the rare earth industry; meanwhile, China has also expressed its preference for global diversification of the rare earth trade as noted in a related white paper published at last year.
In fact, the world’s rare earth supplies patterns are changing. China’s domestic supply chains are also are undergoing certain profound changes in rare earth market. In most recent years, China has launched many special policies to regulate its rare earth mining and production. The country’s rare earth upstream industry sector has been gradually integrated and consolidated into an oligarchic industrial structure, headed by a few industrial giants. Chinese domestic rare earth industrial supply patterns have been changed as has the traditional resource management approach in the major rare earth regions, which is ”unified mining, unified price, unified purchase and distribution.” This means the government-led controlled rare earth resources have resulted in the rare earth upstream industry being led by a few state-owned large enterprises with concentration reaching 80% or higher.
The diversification of supplies will have effects on the rest of world’s rare earth industry. Despite the Chinese government having reiterated on more than one occasion that China will continue its rare earth supply to the international market, the total exports quotas should be limited at reasonable levels. So I believe that the country’s quota policy on rare earth exports will remain stable in the coming several years. With global use of rare earth elements growing, some non-Chinese rare earth mining projects will usher in new development opportunities, particularly where heavy rare earth mining projects are concerned.
Overall, the U.S. and the Japanese government want to speed up implementing a greater diversification of rare earth supplies, which relieves the contradiction between the supply and demand of balance of the global rare earths market. China’s market share of rare earth elements will decrease but its market dominance will not be shaken. The Chinese government has moved to strengthen its strict control and supervision of domestic rare earth supply chains, which will stabilize the country’s rare earth market.












The unstable and lower prices of RE’s are doing great damage to Molycorp, the only operational RE mine in the western hemisphere. Lower prices will also prevent junior miners in the western hemisphere from attracting capital to get their mines up and running. The government sponsored RE research center in Iowa is a very good first step. I think that a government stockpile program that would put a floor under the prices of truly rare RE’s (HRE) would also be very helpful. The markets for these rare earths appear to be small, easily manipulated by China, and inefficient. We need a marketplace where the Chinese can’t completely control the price and supply of RE’s.
Lynas has started production. Rare Earth prices can only go up due to increased economic activities in the world and population. Molycorp is no longer the only producer.
Fundamentals are the only issue in the long term supply of REO be that LREO or HREO. Those fundamentals are different however. Criticality in the HREO space will require ALL of the current advanced projects to come on stream. So Avalon, Tasman, Hastings, Stans etc will ALL succeed to supply the world with dysprosium. A shortage of yttrium is also looming.
The absolute key fundamental in the LREO space is cost of production. And that requires a zero revenue model from by-products. Why? Because the long term value of those by-products is too difficult to estimate and factor into any value estimation. So financing can only be calculated on the LREO value.
i love hastings ,crossland and the tuc and they are all in ausz
Hongpo:
If China is so happy managing the Chinese Government Consolidation of Chinese Rare Eart resources, why is China “locking up” heavy rare earth resources in the rest of the world?
Sorry, personally don’t view China as the benevolent great uncle of the REE world.
Chinese dragon on the prowl and fully intends to maintain and strengthen Chinese Government control of REE especially HREE throughout the world.
Another example in Australia: TUC
http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/TUC.AX/key-developments/article/2676163
Oh, Hongpo: another question: Who is Conglin Yue? What is Conglin Yue’s relationship to theChinese Government elite circle, Baotou Rare Earth Company? Does Conglin Yue sir on the Baotou Gang Board? Are Conglin Yue’s rare earth purchases as a Chinese Governmental Agent/Surrogate?
Conglin Yue (Chinese Government surrogate?) ownership in Lynas, Orion, Northern Minerals, etc come to mind. Conglin Yue recently increased his(?China’s?) ownership in NTU:ASX, in a move similar to Conglin Yue’s (China’s) 20 % ownership of Orion before full takeover of Orion in Australia.
Australian regulators stopped Chinese Government surrogates from purchasing controlling interest in Lynas and Northern Minerals just 2 or 3 years back.
Front door: NO
Now China going through Chinese surrogates and subsidiaries to buy up or sabotage the rest of the world REEs.
Hongpo, sorry I find the essence of your article regarding China to be false, and a Chinese “so-called live and let live attitude” is the opposite of reality.
Kind regards,
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